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April 21, 2021

In lockdown, I have been watching the blockbuster Deutschland 89. There’s a moment in the hours before the fall of the Berlin Wall when the top-dog commissar considers whether to shoot himself—but a little piece of hemp consoles him with the thought that times of change are times of opportunity, times that bring up new winners.

In lockdown, I have been watching the blockbuster Deutschland 89. There’s a moment in the hours before the fall of the Berlin Wall when the top-dog commissar considers whether to shoot himself—but a little piece of hemp consoles him with the thought that times of change are times of opportunity, times that bring up new winners.

April 13, 2021

Covid-19 did not affect all European commercial real estate in the same way—hotels and non-food retail assets were particularly affected, but leasing activity in logistics was very resilient.

Covid-19 did not affect all European commercial real estate in the same way—hotels and non-food retail assets were particularly affected, but leasing activity in logistics was very resilient.

Amundi’s likely, but not certain, central economic scenario is an increase in global GDP in 2021 however, the recovery may be bumpy, with epidemic outbreaks and lockdown measures through the fourth quarter of 2021.

But what are the opportunities and challenges in real estate for 2021? And what are the overall trends for the asset-class?

March 31, 2021

The death of inflation has been greatly exaggerated. Its return will first scare, then maim, then ruin the traditional balanced portfolios have that served investors well for a generation. Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility. And with it a monumental risk—bonds and equities falling in tandem.

The death of inflation has been greatly exaggerated. Its return will first scare, then maim, then ruin the traditional balanced portfolios have that served investors well for a generation. Investors need to prepare for a world of greater inflation volatility. And with it a monumental risk—bonds and equities falling in tandem.

Investors’ great fear

March 24, 2021

In this latest survey by Russell Investments, 50 leading bond and currency managers considered valuations, expectations and outlooks for the coming months. What are the inflation expectations going forward and will higher rates in the developed world dent the previous optimism for emerging market debt?

In this latest survey by Russell Investments, 50 leading bond and currency managers considered valuations, expectations and outlooks for the coming months.

March 2, 2021

Bethany McLean, journalist and author of several books about businesses gone wrong, is the guest in the latest episode of Ruffer Radio.

Bethany McLean, journalist and author of several books about businesses gone wrong, is the guest in the latest episode of Ruffer Radio.

McLean specialises in casting light on the shadier corners of the financial world, renowned for her exposé of the Enron scandal in the early 2000s.

February 15, 2021

While 2021 has started not unlike how much of 2020 played out, with Covid-19 infections continuing to spread and many countries reimplementing lockdown measures, the approval and rollout of various vaccines to combat the coronavirus has been an undeniable game-changer for markets. It's provided a clearer road map for a return to some form of normality, although the path ahead is still likely to remain bumpy, with continued uncertainties in the offing.

While 2021 has started not unlike how much of 2020 played out, with Covid-19 infections continuing to spread and many countries reimplementing lockdown measures, the approval and rollout of various vaccines to combat the coronavirus has been an undeniable game-changer for markets. It's provided a clearer road map for a return to some form of normality, although the path ahead is still likely to remain bumpy, with continued uncertainties in the offing.

January 4, 2021

After a 2020 that was nowhere near what most of us anticipated, it’s perhaps bullish to make predictions about 2021, but Tom McGinness, KPMG’s head of family business, is not deterred from outlining the top 10 topics that he expects to be discussing with those leading family businesses during the coming year.

After a 2020 that was nowhere near what most of us anticipated, it’s perhaps bullish to make predictions about 2021, but Tom McGinness, KPMG’s head of family business, is not deterred from outlining the top 10 topics that he expects to be discussing with those leading family businesses during the coming year.

1.            Reviewing shared purpose

December 10, 2020

We believe that vaccine prospects are likely to make 2021 a year of global economic recovery. While markets have priced in a fair amount of the good news, more gains seem possible as corporate profits rebound and central banks remain on hold.

We believe that vaccine prospects are likely to make 2021 a year of global economic recovery. While markets have priced in a fair amount of the good news, more gains seem possible as corporate profits rebound and central banks remain on hold.

With the world in the early post-recession recovery phase of the business cycle, our medium-term outlook for economies and corporate earnings is positive. We believe that 2021 will feature an extended period of low-inflation, low-interest rate growth that favours equities over bonds.

October 21, 2020

The coronavirus pandemic has hit public finances like a war. Across the world governments have scrambled to offset the economic and social impact of the virus. Huge, and necessary, rises in public spending have pushed government deficits to levels not seen since the two world wars of the 20th century.

The coronavirus pandemic has hit public finances like a war. Across the world governments have scrambled to offset the economic and social impact of the virus. Huge, and necessary, rises in public spending have pushed government deficits to levels not seen since the two world wars of the 20th century.

The numbers are enormous: UK government debt now tops £2 trillion (1). whilst the US owes an eye watering $26 trillion (2). The picture is similar across Europe with many other countries also seeing debt/GDP ratios rising to over 100% (3).

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